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01 Nov · 05:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MMMaksymilian Miastowski
🇵🇱Maksymilian Miastowski
ELO 1781
3-1Final setsMiastowski won
KKKrystian Kolodziej
🇵🇱Krystian Kolodziej
ELO 1724
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Miastowski at 54%. The actual result was Maksymilian Miastowski 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Kolodziej favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 76.5
74 points played
Under
Set handicap
Kolodziej −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Kolodziej −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maksymilian Miastowski is favoured to win, below means Krystian Kolodziej.

▲ Maksymilian Miastowskipre 58% → final 100%
Krystian Kolodziej ▼
Biggest swing 46 pts72 points · 4 games