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01 Nov · 01:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PGPiotr Gesiarz
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1561
3-2Final setsGesiarz won
JSJakub Skorupa
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1545
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Gesiarz at 50%. The actual result was Piotr Gesiarz 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Gesiarz favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Total 76.5
96 points played
Over
Set handicap
Gesiarz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Gesiarz −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Piotr Gesiarz is favoured to win, below means Jakub Skorupa.

▲ Piotr Gesiarzpre 46% → final 100%
Jakub Skorupa ▼
Biggest swing 76 ptsGesiarz recovered from 24%72 points · 5 games