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01 Nov · 09:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
ACAleksander Cichocki
🇵🇱Aleksander Cichocki
ELO 1647
3-1Final setsCichocki won
JWJacek Wieczerzak
🇵🇱Jacek Wieczerzak
ELO 1570
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Cichocki at 52%. The actual result was Aleksander Cichocki 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Wieczerzak favoured — closing 1.65
Upset
Total 76.5
77 points played
Over
Set handicap
Wieczerzak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Wieczerzak −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Aleksander Cichocki is favoured to win, below means Jacek Wieczerzak.

▲ Aleksander Cichockipre 49% → final 100%
Jacek Wieczerzak ▼
Biggest swing 62 ptsCichocki recovered from 38%72 points · 4 games