01 Nov · 13:15 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
ML
🇵🇱Marcin Lach
ELO 1571
0-3Final setsPolok won
PP
🇵🇱Pawel Polok
ELO 1577
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Lach at 52%. The actual result was Pawel Polok 0-3 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Polok favoured — closing 1.7
Total 78.5
60 points played
Set handicap
Polok −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Polok −1.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Lach is favoured to win, below means Pawel Polok.
▲ Marcin Lachpre 56% → final 0%
Pawel Polok ▼
Biggest swing 68 ptsPolok recovered from 32%60 points · 3 games