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01 Nov · 23:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BSBartosz Sulkowski
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1495
3-2Final setsSulkowski won
ALAdam Linek
🇵🇱Adam Linek
ELO 1469
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sulkowski at 52%. The actual result was Bartosz Sulkowski 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Sulkowski favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 78.5
102 points played
Over
Set handicap
Sulkowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Sulkowski −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.05
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartosz Sulkowski is favoured to win, below means Adam Linek.

▲ Bartosz Sulkowskipre 56% → final 100%
Adam Linek ▼
Biggest swing 72 ptsSulkowski recovered from 28%72 points · 5 games