Kamil Kostyk vs Arkadiusz Mugowski — TT Elite Series

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01 Nov · 04:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Kamil Kostyk

ELO 1508

3-1Final setsKostyk won

🇵🇱Arkadiusz Mugowski

ELO 1357

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kostyk at 63%. The actual result was Kamil Kostyk 3-1 — the pick was correct.

Kamil Kostyk — profile →Arkadiusz Mugowski — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Kostyk favoured — closing 1.5

Favourite won

Set handicap

Kostyk −1.5 sets

Covered

Points handicap

Kostyk −3.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

3.6

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Kamil Kostyk is favoured to win, below means Arkadiusz Mugowski.

▲ Kamil Kostykpre 67% → final 98%

Arkadiusz Mugowski ▼

Biggest swing 65 ptsKostyk recovered from 35%72 points · 4 games