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01 Nov · 22:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JMJakub Michalczyk
🇵🇱Jakub Michalczyk
ELO 1375
3-1Final setsMichalczyk won
AEAdrian Eliasz
🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz
ELO 1350
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Michalczyk at 59%. The actual result was Jakub Michalczyk 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michalczyk favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Total 77.5
78 points played
Over
Set handicap
Michalczyk −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Michalczyk −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.95
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Michalczyk is favoured to win, below means Adrian Eliasz.

▲ Jakub Michalczykpre 56% → final 96%
Adrian Eliasz ▼
Biggest swing 49 pts62 points · 3 games