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31 Oct · 23:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KSKarol Sulkowski
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1292
3-2Final setsSulkowski won
AEAdrian Eliasz
🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz
ELO 1350
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Eliasz at 58%. The actual result was Karol Sulkowski 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Eliasz favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 75.5
95 points played
Over
Set handicap
Eliasz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Eliasz −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Karol Sulkowski is favoured to win, below means Adrian Eliasz.

▲ Karol Sulkowskipre 45% → final 2%
Adrian Eliasz ▼
Biggest swing 45 pts55 points · 3 games