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01 Nov · 00:45 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KSKarol Sulkowski
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1292
3-0Final setsSulkowski won
DPDawid Poloszczanski
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1281
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sulkowski at 54%. The actual result was Karol Sulkowski 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Sulkowski favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Set handicap
Sulkowski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Sulkowski −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
4.65
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Karol Sulkowski is favoured to win, below means Dawid Poloszczanski.

▲ Karol Sulkowskipre 58% → final 100%
Dawid Poloszczanski ▼
Biggest swing 46 pts53 points · 3 games