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01 Nov · 01:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KGKuba Golaszewski
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1309
3-1Final setsGolaszewski won
KSKarol Sulkowski
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1292
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Golaszewski at 51%. The actual result was Kuba Golaszewski 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Sulkowski favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 75.5
85 points played
Over
Set handicap
Sulkowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Sulkowski −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Kuba Golaszewski is favoured to win, below means Karol Sulkowski.

▲ Kuba Golaszewskipre 55% → final 98%
Karol Sulkowski ▼
Biggest swing 51 pts72 points · 4 games