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01 Nov · 01:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JBJaroslaw Badura
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Badura
ELO 1466
3-1Final setsBadura won
RWRoman Wiza
🇵🇱Roman Wiza
ELO 1417
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Badura at 55%. The actual result was Jaroslaw Badura 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Wiza favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Total 75.5
71 points played
Under
Set handicap
Wiza −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Wiza −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jaroslaw Badura is favoured to win, below means Roman Wiza.

▲ Jaroslaw Badurapre 59% → final 99%
Roman Wiza ▼
Biggest swing 55 pts69 points · 4 games