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01 Nov · 04:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DPDawid Poloszczanski
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1281
3-2Final setsPoloszczanski won
PSPiotr Staniszewski
🇵🇱Piotr Staniszewski
ELO 1335
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Staniszewski at 63%. The actual result was Dawid Poloszczanski 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Poloszczanski favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Set handicap
Poloszczanski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Poloszczanski −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dawid Poloszczanski is favoured to win, below means Piotr Staniszewski.

▲ Dawid Poloszczanskipre 39% → final 88%
Piotr Staniszewski ▼
Biggest swing 74 ptsPoloszczanski recovered from 14%72 points · 5 games