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01 Nov · 06:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
SKSebastian Krupa
🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa
ELO 1516
2-3Final setsKoczyba won
MKMariusz Koczyba
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1520
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Krupa at 50%. The actual result was Mariusz Koczyba 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Koczyba favoured — closing 1.57
Favourite won
Total 73.5
89 points played
Over
Set handicap
Koczyba −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Koczyba −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Sebastian Krupa is favoured to win, below means Mariusz Koczyba.

▲ Sebastian Krupapre 46% → final 11%
Mariusz Koczyba ▼
Biggest swing 71 ptsKoczyba recovered from 18%72 points · 5 games