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01 Nov · 08:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DPDawid Poloszczanski
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1281
3-2Final setsPoloszczanski won
MSMaciej Sinicki
🇵🇱Maciej Sinicki
ELO 1333
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sinicki at 60%. The actual result was Dawid Poloszczanski 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Sinicki favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 75.5
102 points played
Over
Set handicap
Sinicki −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Sinicki −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dawid Poloszczanski is favoured to win, below means Maciej Sinicki.

▲ Dawid Poloszczanskipre 43% → final 75%
Maciej Sinicki ▼
Biggest swing 69 ptsPoloszczanski recovered from 6%72 points · 5 games