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01 Nov · 09:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BWBartlomiej Wisniewski
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1307
3-0Final setsWisniewski won
MTMateusz Trela
🇵🇱Mateusz Trela
ELO 1352
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Trela at 57%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Wisniewski 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mateusz Trela favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 75.5
57 points played
Under
Set handicap
Mateusz Trela −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mateusz Trela −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Wisniewski is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Trela.

▲ Bartlomiej Wisniewskipre 39% → final 94%
Mateusz Trela ▼
Biggest swing 57 ptsWisniewski recovered from 37%56 points · 3 games