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01 Nov · 09:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MMMaciej Malecha
🇵🇱Maciej Malecha
ELO 1400
3-0Final setsMalecha won
SSSebastian Szostok
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1545
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Szostok at 61%. The actual result was Maciej Malecha 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Sebastian Szostok favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 75.5
58 points played
Under
Set handicap
Sebastian Szostok −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Sebastian Szostok −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maciej Malecha is favoured to win, below means Sebastian Szostok.

▲ Maciej Malechapre 42% → final 98%
Sebastian Szostok ▼
Biggest swing 68 ptsMalecha recovered from 30%57 points · 3 games