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01 Nov · 12:25 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
TPTadeusz Piotrowski
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1440
3-1Final setsPiotrowski won
MTMateusz Trela
🇵🇱Mateusz Trela
ELO 1352
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Piotrowski at 57%. The actual result was Tadeusz Piotrowski 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Tadeusz Piotrowski favoured — closing 1.65
Favourite won
Total 75.5
73 points played
Under
Set handicap
Tadeusz Piotrowski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Tadeusz Piotrowski −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Tadeusz Piotrowski is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Trela.

▲ Tadeusz Piotrowskipre 54% → final 92%
Mateusz Trela ▼
Biggest swing 46 pts48 points · 3 games