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01 Nov · 13:40 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
TPTadeusz Piotrowski
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1440
3-2Final setsPiotrowski won
AMArkadiusz Mugowski
🇵🇱Arkadiusz Mugowski
ELO 1357
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Piotrowski at 58%. The actual result was Tadeusz Piotrowski 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Tadeusz Piotrowski favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 75.5
95 points played
Over
Set handicap
Tadeusz Piotrowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Tadeusz Piotrowski −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Tadeusz Piotrowski is favoured to win, below means Arkadiusz Mugowski.

▲ Tadeusz Piotrowskipre 62% → final 79%
Arkadiusz Mugowski ▼
Biggest swing 59 ptsPiotrowski recovered from 28%72 points · 5 games