1 Nov · 22:05 MEZLow · Slight Edge
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1676
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Warzecha
AZ
🇵🇱Artur Zmijewski
ELO 1640
FormWLWWW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+36
H2H6-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.