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01 Nov · 14:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
ISIgor Szymanski
🇵🇱Igor Szymanski
ELO 1480
3-1Final setsSzymanski won
HTHenryk Tkaczyk
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1493
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Tkaczyk at 59%. The actual result was Igor Szymanski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Henryk Tkaczyk favoured — closing 1.37
Upset
Total 73.5
78 points played
Over
Set handicap
Henryk Tkaczyk −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Henryk Tkaczyk −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Igor Szymanski is favoured to win, below means Henryk Tkaczyk.

▲ Igor Szymanskipre 44% → final 87%
Henryk Tkaczyk ▼
Biggest swing 56 ptsSzymanski recovered from 40%72 points · 4 games