1 Nov · 23:45 MEZMedium · Model Lean
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1676
FormWWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Warzecha
JZ
🇵🇱Jacek Zelezik
ELO 1614
FormLLLLW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+62
H2H21-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-6)