Sebastian Szostok vs Henryk Tkaczyk — TT Elite Series

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01 Nov · 16:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok

ELO 1545

3-1Final setsSzostok won

🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk

ELO 1493

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Szostok at 51%. The actual result was Sebastian Szostok 3-1 — the pick was correct.

Sebastian Szostok — profile →Henryk Tkaczyk — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Henryk Tkaczyk favoured — closing 1.8

Upset

Total 75.5

78 points played

Over

Set handicap

Henryk Tkaczyk −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Henryk Tkaczyk −0.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

4.5

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Sebastian Szostok is favoured to win, below means Henryk Tkaczyk.

▲ Sebastian Szostokpre 47% → final 98%

Henryk Tkaczyk ▼

Biggest swing 81 ptsSzostok recovered from 18%72 points · 5 games