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01 Nov · 20:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
WUWojciech Urban
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1479
3-0Final setsUrban won
JPJakub Pruszkowski
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1521
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pruszkowski at 60%. The actual result was Wojciech Urban 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jakub Pruszkowski favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Total 75.5
49 points played
Under
Set handicap
Jakub Pruszkowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jakub Pruszkowski −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
8.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Wojciech Urban is favoured to win, below means Jakub Pruszkowski.

▲ Wojciech Urbanpre 43% → final 98%
Jakub Pruszkowski ▼
Biggest swing 56 ptsUrban recovered from 43%48 points · 3 games