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01 Nov · 22:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MGMichal Guzik
🇵🇱Michal Guzik
ELO 1575
0-3Final setsAdamus won
PAPawel Adamus
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1553
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Guzik at 54%. The actual result was Pawel Adamus 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Guzik favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 74.5
55 points played
Under
Set handicap
Michal Guzik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Guzik −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Guzik is favoured to win, below means Pawel Adamus.

▲ Michal Guzikpre 58% → final 90%
Pawel Adamus ▼
Biggest swing 52 ptsGuzik recovered from 38%72 points · 4 games