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02 Nov · 01:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MGMichal Guzik
🇵🇱Michal Guzik
ELO 1572
1-3Final setsSikon won
MSMateusz Sikon
🇵🇱Mateusz Sikon
ELO 1327
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Guzik at 67%. The actual result was Mateusz Sikon 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Guzik favoured — closing 1.25
Upset
Set handicap
Michal Guzik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Guzik −8.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Guzik is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Sikon.

▲ Michal Guzikpre 72% → final 31%
Mateusz Sikon ▼
Biggest swing 55 ptsSikon recovered from 23%72 points · 4 games