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02 Nov · 01:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
GMGrzegorz Marud
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1552
3-1Final setsMarud won
JNJakub Nowak
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1359
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Marud at 65%. The actual result was Grzegorz Marud 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Marud favoured — closing 1.3
Favourite won
Set handicap
Grzegorz Marud −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Grzegorz Marud −7.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Marud is favoured to win, below means Jakub Nowak.

▲ Grzegorz Marudpre 70% → final 84%
Jakub Nowak ▼
Biggest swing 40 pts72 points · 4 games