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02 Nov · 02:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PKPawel Kurek
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1551
1-3Final setsAdamus won
PAPawel Adamus
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1573
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kurek at 59%. The actual result was Pawel Adamus 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Pawel Kurek favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 75.5
75 points played
Under
Set handicap
Pawel Kurek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Pawel Kurek −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pawel Kurek is favoured to win, below means Pawel Adamus.

▲ Pawel Kurekpre 63% → final 6%
Pawel Adamus ▼
Biggest swing 62 ptsAdamus recovered from 35%72 points · 4 games