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02 Nov · 03:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MGMichal Guzik
🇵🇱Michal Guzik
ELO 1581
3-0Final setsGuzik won
PKPawel Kurek
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1551
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kurek at 53%. The actual result was Michal Guzik 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Guzik favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Total 73.5
50 points played
Under
Set handicap
Michal Guzik −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Michal Guzik −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
5.3
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Guzik is favoured to win, below means Pawel Kurek.

▲ Michal Guzikpre 50% → final 99%
Pawel Kurek ▼
Biggest swing 61 ptsGuzik recovered from 38%49 points · 3 games