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02 Nov · 05:50 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KWKrzysztof Wloczko
🇵🇱Krzysztof Wloczko
ELO 1781
3-1Final setsWloczko won
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1708
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wloczko at 56%. The actual result was Krzysztof Wloczko 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Poliniewicz favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 78.5
70 points played
Under
Set handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Krzysztof Wloczko is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Poliniewicz.

▲ Krzysztof Wloczkopre 53% → final 98%
Grzegorz Poliniewicz ▼
Biggest swing 46 pts68 points · 4 games