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02 Nov · 06:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MLMaciej Lamer
🇵🇱Maciej Lamer
ELO 1246
0-3Final setsBarton won
ABAleksander Barton
🇵🇱Aleksander Barton
ELO 1161
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lamer at 50%. The actual result was Aleksander Barton 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Maciej Lamer favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 73.5
59 points played
Under
Set handicap
Maciej Lamer −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Maciej Lamer −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maciej Lamer is favoured to win, below means Aleksander Barton.

▲ Maciej Lamerpre 46% → final 5%
Aleksander Barton ▼
Biggest swing 45 pts58 points · 3 games