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02 Nov · 07:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KKKamil Kostyk
🇵🇱Kamil Kostyk
ELO 1518
3-1Final setsKostyk won
ASArtur Sobel
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1517
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sobel at 52%. The actual result was Kamil Kostyk 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Artur Sobel favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 75.5
88 points played
Over
Set handicap
Artur Sobel −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Artur Sobel −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Kamil Kostyk is favoured to win, below means Artur Sobel.

▲ Kamil Kostykpre 44% → final 89%
Artur Sobel ▼
Biggest swing 66 ptsKostyk recovered from 24%72 points · 4 games