Mariusz Baron vs Yurij Fomin — TT Elite Series

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02 Nov · 08:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Mariusz Baron

ELO 1477

3-1Final setsBaron won

🇵🇱Yurij Fomin

ELO 1471

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Baron at 58%. The actual result was Mariusz Baron 3-1 — the pick was correct.

Mariusz Baron — profile →Yurij Fomin — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Mariusz Baron favoured — closing 1.8

Favourite won

Total 75.5

81 points played

Over

Set handicap

Mariusz Baron −1.5 sets

Covered

Points handicap

Mariusz Baron −0.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

4.2

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Baron is favoured to win, below means Yurij Fomin.

▲ Mariusz Baronpre 62% → final 91%

Yurij Fomin ▼

Biggest swing 54 ptsBaron recovered from 37%72 points · 4 games