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02 Nov · 10:50 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
LPLukasz Pietraszko
🇵🇱Lukasz Pietraszko
ELO 1558
3-2Final setsPietraszko won
KKKamil Kostyk
🇵🇱Kamil Kostyk
ELO 1505
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pietraszko at 59%. The actual result was Lukasz Pietraszko 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Pietraszko favoured — closing 1.55
Favourite won
Total 75.5
95 points played
Over
Set handicap
Pietraszko −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Pietraszko −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Lukasz Pietraszko is favoured to win, below means Kamil Kostyk.

▲ Lukasz Pietraszkopre 56% → final 99%
Kamil Kostyk ▼
Biggest swing 73 ptsPietraszko recovered from 26%72 points · 5 games