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02 Nov · 11:40 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MBMariusz Baron
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1485
3-0Final setsBaron won
WTWojciech Tobiasz
🇵🇱Wojciech Tobiasz
ELO 1356
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Baron at 57%. The actual result was Mariusz Baron 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Baron favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 75.5
60 points played
Under
Set handicap
Baron −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Baron −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
5.3
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Baron is favoured to win, below means Wojciech Tobiasz.

▲ Mariusz Baronpre 54% → final 96%
Wojciech Tobiasz ▼
Biggest swing 52 pts59 points · 3 games