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02 Nov · 13:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1722
3-2Final setsPoliniewicz won
JKJakub Kwapis
🇵🇱Jakub Kwapis
ELO 1626
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poliniewicz at 61%. The actual result was Grzegorz Poliniewicz 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Poliniewicz favoured — closing 1.45
Favourite won
Total 74.5
91 points played
Over
Set handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.95
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Poliniewicz is favoured to win, below means Jakub Kwapis.

▲ Grzegorz Poliniewiczpre 58% → final 100%
Jakub Kwapis ▼
Biggest swing 55 pts50 points · 3 games