2 Nov · 19:20 MEZMedium · Model Lean
JG
🇵🇱Jakub Glanowski
ELO 1423
FormLLLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Minda
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1498
FormLLWLW
42%
58%
🌟Minda goes over total as favourite 71% (28)
Fair odds · Minda
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+75
H2H58-53
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (58-53)