2 Nov · 17:45 MEZMedium · Model Lean
LP
🇵🇱Lukasz Pietraszko
ELO 1558
FormLWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Pietraszko
AS
🇵🇱Adam Smoter
ELO 1483
FormWLWLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Pietraszko
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~79 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+75
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)