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DeuceLab
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02 Nov · 14:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MRMateusz Rutkowski
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1569
3-2Final setsRutkowski won
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1726
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poliniewicz at 61%. The actual result was Mateusz Rutkowski 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Poliniewicz favoured — closing 1.5
Upset
Total 75.5
97 points played
Over
Set handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Rutkowski is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Poliniewicz.

▲ Mateusz Rutkowskipre 42% → final 4%
Grzegorz Poliniewicz ▼
Biggest swing 51 pts72 points · 4 games