2 Nov · 20:05 MEZLow · Coin Flip
AS
🇵🇱Adam Smoter
ELO 1483
FormWLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Rudomina
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1493
FormLWLWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Rudomina
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+10
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.