2 Nov · 18:30 MEZLow · Slight Edge
AS
🇵🇱Adam Smoter
ELO 1483
FormWLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Minda
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1498
FormLLWLW
48%
52%
🌟Minda goes over total as favourite 71% (28)
Fair odds · Minda
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.