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02 Nov · 19:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MPMiroslaw Piecowski
🇵🇱Miroslaw Piecowski
ELO 1271
1-3Final setsKowalczyk won
MKMarcin Kowalczyk
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1328
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kowalczyk at 52%. The actual result was Marcin Kowalczyk 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marcin Kowalczyk favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 74.5
63 points played
Under
Set handicap
Marcin Kowalczyk −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Marcin Kowalczyk −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Miroslaw Piecowski is favoured to win, below means Marcin Kowalczyk.

▲ Miroslaw Piecowskipre 44% → final 0%
Marcin Kowalczyk ▼
Biggest swing 72 ptsKowalczyk recovered from 28%62 points · 4 games