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02 Nov · 20:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BWBartlomiej Wisniewski
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1291
3-2Final setsWisniewski won
MZMariusz Zwolinski
🇵🇱Mariusz Zwolinski
ELO 1361
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zwolinski at 51%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Wisniewski 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mariusz Zwolinski favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Set handicap
Mariusz Zwolinski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mariusz Zwolinski −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Wisniewski is favoured to win, below means Mariusz Zwolinski.

▲ Bartlomiej Wisniewskipre 53% → final 77%
Mariusz Zwolinski ▼
Biggest swing 76 ptsWisniewski recovered from 13%72 points · 5 games