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02 Nov · 20:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
ASArtur Szoltysek
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1313
1-3Final setsKowalczyk won
MKMarcin Kowalczyk
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1337
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Szoltysek at 54%. The actual result was Marcin Kowalczyk 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marcin Kowalczyk favoured — closing 1.8
Favourite won
Total 74.5
70 points played
Under
Set handicap
Marcin Kowalczyk −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Marcin Kowalczyk −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Artur Szoltysek is favoured to win, below means Marcin Kowalczyk.

▲ Artur Szoltysekpre 51% → final 0%
Marcin Kowalczyk ▼
Biggest swing 70 ptsKowalczyk recovered from 30%69 points · 4 games