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02 Nov · 21:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JPJacek Przewlocki
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1308
3-1Final setsPrzewlocki won
MZMariusz Zwolinski
🇵🇱Mariusz Zwolinski
ELO 1347
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zwolinski at 50%. The actual result was Jacek Przewlocki 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mariusz Zwolinski favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 75.5
79 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mariusz Zwolinski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mariusz Zwolinski −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.55
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jacek Przewlocki is favoured to win, below means Mariusz Zwolinski.

▲ Jacek Przewlockipre 54% → final 99%
Mariusz Zwolinski ▼
Biggest swing 55 pts72 points · 4 games