2 Nov · 23:30 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1365
FormWWLWL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Adamus
PA
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1558
FormWLLLW
30%
70%
🌟Nowak goes over total as underdog 63% (83)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~75 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
25%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+193
H2H20-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+193)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-14)