3 Nov · 00:50 MEZMedium · Model Lean
AK
🇵🇱Artur Kubiak
ELO 1538
FormWWWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kubiak
JC
🇵🇱Jakub Cyndera
ELO 1485
FormWLLWW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Kubiak
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+53
H2H10-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-5)