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02 Nov · 23:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
GMGrzegorz Marud
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1565
3-1Final setsMarud won
JPJakub Pruszkowski
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1535
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pruszkowski at 51%. The actual result was Grzegorz Marud 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Marud favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 75.5
77 points played
Over
Set handicap
Grzegorz Marud −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Grzegorz Marud −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Marud is favoured to win, below means Jakub Pruszkowski.

▲ Grzegorz Marudpre 45% → final 5%
Jakub Pruszkowski ▼
Biggest swing 52 ptsPruszkowski recovered from 43%62 points · 3 games