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03 Nov · 00:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MPMiroslaw Piecowski
🇵🇱Miroslaw Piecowski
ELO 1294
3-0Final setsPiecowski won
MKMarcin Kowalczyk
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1322
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kowalczyk at 56%. The actual result was Miroslaw Piecowski 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marcin Kowalczyk favoured — closing 1.65
Upset
Total 74.5
59 points played
Under
Set handicap
Marcin Kowalczyk −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marcin Kowalczyk −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
7.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Miroslaw Piecowski is favoured to win, below means Marcin Kowalczyk.

▲ Miroslaw Piecowskipre 47% → final 94%
Marcin Kowalczyk ▼
Biggest swing 55 ptsPiecowski recovered from 44%58 points · 3 games