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03 Nov · 01:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MPMiroslaw Piecowski
🇵🇱Miroslaw Piecowski
ELO 1294
3-1Final setsPiecowski won
MZMariusz Zwolinski
🇵🇱Mariusz Zwolinski
ELO 1347
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zwolinski at 56%. The actual result was Miroslaw Piecowski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mariusz Zwolinski favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Total 75.5
76 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mariusz Zwolinski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mariusz Zwolinski −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Miroslaw Piecowski is favoured to win, below means Mariusz Zwolinski.

▲ Miroslaw Piecowskipre 47% → final 88%
Mariusz Zwolinski ▼
Biggest swing 74 ptsPiecowski recovered from 25%72 points · 4 games