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03 Nov · 02:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MCMilosz Cesarz
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1333
3-1Final setsCesarz won
JPJakub Pruszkowski
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1529
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pruszkowski at 71%. The actual result was Milosz Cesarz 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jakub Pruszkowski favoured — closing 1.4
Upset
Total 74.5
85 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jakub Pruszkowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jakub Pruszkowski −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
6.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Milosz Cesarz is favoured to win, below means Jakub Pruszkowski.

▲ Milosz Cesarzpre 24% → final 92%
Jakub Pruszkowski ▼
Biggest swing 80 ptsCesarz recovered from 16%72 points · 4 games